Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000217 0.000242 0.000270 0.000301 0.000336 0.000375 0.000419
2025-02-02 0.000187 0.000223 0.000264 0.000315 0.000374 0.000443 0.000529
2025-02-09 0.000162 0.000204 0.000254 0.000319 0.000401 0.000501 0.000632
2025-02-16 0.000141 0.000187 0.000244 0.000322 0.000425 0.000557 0.000738
2025-02-23 0.000124 0.000171 0.000233 0.000322 0.000443 0.000605 0.000839
2025-03-02 0.000108 0.000156 0.000220 0.000316 0.000453 0.000643 0.000928
2025-03-09 0.000097 0.000144 0.000211 0.000314 0.000467 0.000687 0.001029
2025-03-16 0.000088 0.000135 0.000205 0.000314 0.000483 0.000735 0.001140
2025-03-23 0.000080 0.000127 0.000199 0.000316 0.000501 0.000786 0.001258
2025-03-30 0.000073 0.000120 0.000192 0.000314 0.000513 0.000828 0.001366
2025-04-06 0.000068 0.000114 0.000188 0.000316 0.000531 0.000880 0.001495
2025-04-13 0.000063 0.000108 0.000184 0.000317 0.000547 0.000931 0.001625
2025-04-20 0.000057 0.000101 0.000176 0.000313 0.000555 0.000971 0.001745
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000100 0.000179 0.000326 0.000596 0.001071 0.001979
2025-05-04 0.000052 0.000097 0.000177 0.000331 0.000620 0.001144 0.002173
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000093 0.000174 0.000335 0.000643 0.001216 0.002372
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000088 0.000170 0.000334 0.000658 0.001274 0.002548
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000083 0.000163 0.000328 0.000662 0.001312 0.002689
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000079 0.000158 0.000326 0.000673 0.001366 0.002867
2025-06-08 0.000036 0.000075 0.000155 0.000326 0.000689 0.001429 0.003069
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000073 0.000152 0.000328 0.000707 0.001498 0.003292
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000069 0.000148 0.000325 0.000718 0.001552 0.003486
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000067 0.000146 0.000327 0.000737 0.001627 0.003734